Warner Marzocchi - Selected Publications#

169. E. Manganiello, M. Herrmann, W. Marzocchi (2022). New physical implications from revisiting foreshock activity in southern California. Geophys. Res. Lett., In press.
168. L. Chiaraluce, M. Michele, F. Waldhauser, Y. Tan, M. Herrmann, D. Spallarossa, G. Beroza, M. Cattaneo, C. Chiarabba, P. De Gori, R. Di Stefano, W. Ellsworth, I. Main, S. Mancini, L. Margheriti, W. Marzocchi, M.-A. Meier, D. Scafidi, D. Schaff, and M. Segou (2022). A comprehensive suite of earthquake catalogues for the 2016-2017 Central Italy seismic sequence. Sci. data. In press.
167. M. Herrmann, E. Piegari, W. Marzocchi (2022). Revealing the spatiotemporal complexity of the magnitude distribution and b-value during an earthquake sequence. Nat. Comm., 13, 5087.
166. E. Piegari, M. Herrmann, W. Marzocchi (2022). 3D spatial clustering of seismic sequences through density-based machine learning algorithms. Geophys. J. Int., 230, 2073–2088.
165. P. Papale, D. Garg, W. Marzocchi (2022). Global Rates of Subaerial Volcanism on Earth. Front. Earth Sci., 10, 922160. doi: 10.3389/feart.2022.922160
164. N. Šipčić, M. Kohrangi, A. Papadopoulos, W. Marzocchi, P. Bazzurro, (2022). Considering seismic sequences in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 112, 1694–1709.
163. M. Taroni, J. Zhuang, W. Marzocchi (2022). Reply to comment by L. Gulia, P. Gasperini, and S. Wiemer on "High-Definition Mapping of the Gutenberg–Richter b-Value and Its Relevance: A Case Study in Italy" by M. Taroni, J. Zhuang and W. Marzocchi (Seismol. Res. Lett., doi:10.1785/0220210017). Seismol. Res. Lett., 93, 1095-1097.
162. W. Marzocchi, J. Selva, T.H. Jordan (2021). A Unified Probabilistic Framework for Volcanic Hazard and Eruption Forecasting. Nat. Haz. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3509-3517, doi: 10.5194/nhess-21-3509-2021
161. G. Falcone, I. Spassiani, Y. Ashkenazy, A. Shapira, R. Hofstetter, S. Havlin, and W. Marzocchi (2021). An Operational Earthquake Forecasting experiment for Israel: Preliminary Results. Front. Earth Sci., 9, 729282, doi:10.3389/feart.2021.729282.
160. M. Taroni, J. Zhuang, W. Marzocchi (2021). High-Definition Mapping of the Gutenberg-Richter b-value and its relevance: a Case Study in Italy. Seismol. Res. Lett., 92, 3778–3784, doi:10.1785/0220210017
159. P. Papale, W. Marzocchi, D. Garg (2021). Global volume distribution for subaerial volcanism on Earth. J. Geophys. Res. - Solid Earth, 126, e2021JB021763.
158. F. Visini, B. Pace, C. Meletti, W. Marzocchi, A. Akinci, S. Barani, G. Barreca, R. Basili, P. Bird, M. Bonini, P. Burrato, M. Busetti Martina, M.M.C. Carafa, R. Console, G. Corti, N. D’Agostino, V. D’Amico, M. Dal Cin, G. Falcone, U. Fracassi, R. Gee, V. Kastelic, C. Lai, F. Maesano, A. Marchesini, L. Martelli, C. Monaco, M. Murru, L. Peruzza, M.E. Poli, S. Pondrelli, A. Rebez, R. Rotondi, A. Rovida, F. Sani, M. Santulin, D. Scafidi, D. Slejko, D. Spallarossa, A. Tamaro, G. Tarabusi, M. Taroni, M.M. Tiberti, G. Valensise, P. Vannoli, E. Varini, A. Zanferrari, E. Zuccolo (2021). Earthquake Rupture Forecast inputs for the new Seismic Hazard Model of Italy. Ann. Geophys. 64(2), SE220, doi:10.4401/ag-8608
157. Y. Zhang, D. Zhou, J. Fan, W. Marzocchi, Y. Ashkenazy, S. Havlin (2021). Improved aftershocks forecasting model based on longterm memory. New J. Phys., 23, 042001.
156. I. Spassiani, W. Marzocchi (2021). An Energy-dependent Seismic Moment-Frequency Distribution for Earthquakes. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. In press.
155. C. Meletti, W. Marzocchi, V. D'Amico, G. Lanzano, L. Luzi, F. Martinelli, B. Pace, A. Rovida, M. Taroni, F. Visini (2020). The new Italian seismic hazard model (MPS19). Ann. Geophys., 64 (1), SE112
154. M. Herrmann, W. Marzocchi (2021). Inconsistencies and Lurking Pitfalls in the Magnitude–Frequency Distribution of High-Resolution Earthquake Catalogs. Seismol. Res. Lett., 92, 909-922, doi:10.1785/0220200337
153. A. N. Papadopoulos, P. Bazzurro, W. Marzocchi (2021). Exploring Probabilistic Seismic Risk Assessment Accounting for Seismicity Clustering and Damage Accumulation: Part I. Hazard Analysis. Earthq. Spectra. DOI:10.1177/8755293020957338
152. W. Savran, M. Werner, W. Marzocchi, D. Rhoades, D. Jackson, K. Milner, E. Field, A. Michael (2020). Pseudo-prospective Evaluation of UCERF3-ETAS Forecasts During the 2019 Ridgecrest Sequence. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 110, 1799-1817.
151. G. Lanzano, L. Luzi, V. D’Amico, F. Pacor, C. Meletti, W. Marzocchi, R. Rotondi, E. Varini (2020). Ground Motion Models for the New Seismic Hazard Model of Italy (MPS19): Selection for Active Shallow Crustal Regions and Subduction Zones. Bull. Earthq. Eng. 18, 3487-3516.
150. M. C. Gerstenberger, W. Marzocchi, T. Allen, M. Pagani, J. Adams, L. Danciu, E. Field, H. Fujiwara, N. Luco, K-F Ma, C. Meletti, M. Petersen (2020). Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis at Regional and National Scale: State of the Art and Future Challenges. Rev. Geophys. 58, e2019RG000653.
149. Y. Zhang, J. Fan, W. Marzocchi, A. Shapira, R. Hofstetter, S. Havlin, Y. Ashkenazy (2020). Scaling Laws in Earthquake Memory for Interevent Times and Distances. Phys. Rev. Res. 2, 013264.
148. W. Marzocchi, I. Spassiani, A. Stallone, M. Taroni (2020). How to be fooled searching for significant variations of the b-value. Geophys. J. Int., 220, 1845-1856.
147. A. Stallone, W. Marzocchi (2019). Features of seismic sequences are similar in different crustal tectonic regions. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 109(5), 1594-1604.
146. J. Fan, D. Zhou, L. M. Shekhtman, A. Shapira, R. Hofstetter, W. Marzocchi, Y. Ashkenazy, and S. Havlin (2019). Possible origin of memory in earthquakes: real catalogs and an epidemic-type aftershock sequence model. Phys. Rev. E., 99(4), 042210.
145. J. Pallister, P. Papale, J. Eichelberger, C. Newhall, C. Mandeville, S. Nakada, W. Marzocchi, S. Loughlin, G. Jolly, J. Ewert, and J. Selva (2019). Volcano Observatory Best Practices (VOBP) workshops - A summary of findings and best-practice recommendations. J. Appl. Volcanol., 8, 2.
144. P. Papale, W. Marzocchi (2019). Volcanic threats to global society. Science, 363, 1275-1276.
143. A. Stallone, W. Marzocchi (2019). Empirical evaluation of the magnitude-independence assumption. Geophys. J. Int., 216, 820-839.
142. W. Marzocchi (2018). Predictive seismology. Seismol. Res. Lett., 89(6), 1998-2000.
141. P. Tierz, R. E. Stefanescu, L. Sandri, R. Sulpizio, G. A. Valentine, W. Marzocchi, and A. K. Patra (2018). Towards quantitative volcanic risk of pyroclastic density currents: probabilistic hazard curves and maps around Somma-Vesuvius (Italy). J. Geophys. Res. - Solid Earth, 123, 6299-6317.
140. W. Marzocchi, T.H. Jordan (2018). Experimental concepts for testing probabilistic earthquake forecasting and seismic hazard models. Geophys. J. Int., 215(2), 780-798.
139. P. Artale Harris, W. Marzocchi, D. Melini (2018). What can we learn from a simple physics-based earthquake simulator? Pure Appl. Geophys., 175(8), 2739-2752.
138. L. Sandri, P. Tierz, A. Costa, W. Marzocchi (2018). Probabilistic hazard from pyroclastic density currents in the Neapolitan area (Southern Italy). J. Geophys. Res. - Solid Earth, 123, 3474-3500. 
137. C. Cattania, M.J. Werner, W. Marzocchi, S. Hainzl, D.A. Rhoades, M.C. Gerstenberger, M. Liukis, W. Savran, A. Christophersen, A. Helmstetter, A. Jimenez, S. Steacy and T.H. Jordan (2018). The forecasting skill of physics-based seismicity models during the 2010–2012 Canterbury, New Zealand, earthquake sequence. Seismol. Res. Lett., 89(4), 1238-1250.
136. D.A. Rhoades, A. Christophersen, M.C. Gerstenberger, M. Liukis, F. Silva, W. Marzocchi, M.J. Werner, and T.H. Jordan (2018). Highlights from the first ten years of the New Zealand earthquake forecast testing center. Seismol. Res. Lett., 89(4), 1229-1237.
135. D. Schorlemmer, M.J. Werner, W. Marzocchi, T.H. Jordan, Y. Ogata, D.D. Jackson, S. Mak, D.A. Rhoades, M.C. Gerstenberger, N. Hirata, M. Liukis, P. Maechling, A. Strader, M. Taroni, S. Wiemer, J.D. Zechar, J. Zhuang (2018). The collaboratory for the study of earthquake predictability: achievements and priorities. Seismol. Res. Lett., 89(4), 1305-1313.
134. M. Taroni, W. Marzocchi, D. Schorlemmer, M. J. Werner, S. Wiemer, J.D. Zechar, L. Heiniger, F. Euchner (2018). Prospective CSEP evaluation of 1-day, 3-month, and 5-year earthquake forecasts for Italy. Seismol. Res. Lett., 89(4), 1251-1261.
133. I. Spassiani, W. Marzocchi (2018). How likely does an aftershock sequence conform to a single Omori law behavior? Seismol. Res. Lett., 89(3), 1118-1128.
132. M. Taroni, W. Marzocchi, P. Roselli (2018). Reply to comment by G. Molchan, A. Peresan, G.F. Panza, L. Romashkova, V. Kossobokov on "Assessing CN earthquake predictions in Italy" by Taroni et al. (Ann. Geophys., 59, S0648, 2016). Ann. Geophys., 61(1), SE106.
131. P. Roselli, W. Marzocchi, M.T. Mariucci, P. Montone (2018). Earthquake focal mechanism forecasting in Italy for PSHA purposes. Geophys. J. Int., 212, 491-508.
130. W. Marzocchi, T.H. Jordan (2017). A unified probabilistic framework for seismic hazard analysis. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 107(6), 2738-2744.
129. W. Marzocchi, M. Taroni, G. Falcone (2017). Earthquake forecasting during the complex Amatrice-Norcia seismic sequence. Sci. Adv., 3, e1701239.
128. P. Tierz, M. J. Woodhouse, J. C. Phillips, L. Sandri, J. Selva, W. Marzocchi, H. M. Odbert (2017). A framework for probabilistic multi-hazard assessment of rain-triggered lahars using Bayesian Belief Networks. Front. Earth Sci., 5, 73. doi: 10.3389/feart.2017.00073
127. E. Lippiello, F. Giacco, W. Marzocchi, C. Godano, L. de Arcangelis (2017). Statistical features of foreshocks in instrumental and ETAS catalogs. Pure Appl. Geophys., 174(4), 1679-1697, DOI 10.1007/s00024-017-1502-5
126. M. Taroni, W. Marzocchi, P. Roselli (2016). Assessing CN earthquake predictions in Italy. Ann. Geophys., 59(6), S0648, DOI 10.4401/ag-6889
125. W. Marzocchi, L. Sandri, A. Heuret, F. Funiciello (2016). Where giant earthquakes may come. J. Geophys. Res. - Solid Earth, 121(10), 7322-7336, DOI 10.1002/2016JB013054
124. P. Tierz, L. Sandri, A. Costa, L. Zaccarelli, M. A. Di Vito, R. Sulpizio, W. Marzocchi (2016). Suitability of energy cone for probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment: validation tests at Somma-Vesuvius and Campi Flegrei (Italy). Bull. Volcanol., 78, 79.
DOI 10.1007/s00445-016-1073-9
123. R. Tonini, L. Sandri, D. Rouwet, C. Caudron, W. Marzocchi, and Suparjan (2016). A new Bayesian Event Tree tool to track and quantify volcanic unrest and its application to Kawah Ijen volcano. Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst., 17(7), 2539-2555, DOI 10.1002/2016GC006327
122. J.D. Zechar, W. Marzocchi, S. Wiemer (2016). Operational earthquake forecasting in Europe: progress, despite challenges. Bull. Earthq. Eng., 14, 2459-2469, DOI 10.1007/s10518-016-9930-7
121. P. Roselli, W. Marzocchi, L. Faenza (2016). Towards a new probabilistic framework to score and merge ground motion prediction equations: the case of the Italian region. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 106(2), 720-733, DOI 10.1785/0120150057
120. E. Lippiello, F. Giacco, W. Marzocchi, C. Godano, L. de Arcangelis (2015). Mechanical origin of aftershocks. Sci. Rep., 5, 15560, DOI 10.1038/srep15560.
119. W. Marzocchi, I. Iervolino, M. Giorgio, G. Falcone (2015). When is the probability of a large earthquake too small? Seismol. Res. Lett., 86(6), 1674-1678.
118. W. Marzocchi, T. H. Jordan, G. Woo (2015). Varenna workshop report:
Operational earthquake forecasting and decision making. Ann. Geophys., 58(4), RW0434.
117. I. Iervolino, E. Chioccarelli, M. Giorgio, W. Marzocchi, G. Zuccaro, M. Dolce, G. Manfredi (2015). Operational (short-term) earthquake loss forecasting in Italy. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 105(4), 2286-2298.
116. W. Marzocchi, M. Taroni, J. Selva (2015). Accounting for epistemic uncertainty in PSHA: logic tree and ensemble modeling. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 105(4), 2151-2159.
115. M.A. Thompson, J.M. Lindsay, L. Sandri, S. Biass, C. Bonadonna, G. Jolly, W. Marzocchi (2015). Exploring the influence of vent location and eruption style on tephra fall hazard from basaltic and rhyolitic Plinian eruptions at the Okataina Volcanic Centre caldera complex, New Zealand. Bull. Volcanol., 77(5), 38.
114. A. Garcia-Aristizabal, E. Bucchignani, E. Palazzi, D. D’Onofrio, P. Gasparini, W. Marzocchi (2015). Analysis of non-stationary climate-related extreme events considering climate-change scenarios: an application for multi-hazard assessment in the Dar Es Salaam region, Tanzania. Nat. Hazards, 75, 289-320.
113. D. Rouwet, L. Sandri, W. Marzocchi, J. Gottsmann, J. Selva, R. Tonini, P. Papale (2014). Recognizing and tracking volcanic hazards related to non-magmatic unrest: a review. J. Appl. Volcanol., 3, 17.
112. J. Selva, A. Costa, L. Sandri, G. Macedonio, W. Marzocchi (2014). Probabilistic short-term volcanic hazard in phases of unrest: a case study for tephra fallout. J. Geophys. Res., 119, 8805-8826.
111. W. Marzocchi, D. Melini (2014). On the earthquake predictability of fault interaction models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 8294-8300.
110. H. Ebrahimian, F. Jalayer, D. Asprone, A.M. Lombardi, W. Marzocchi, A. Prota, G. Manfredi (2014). A performance-based framework for adaptive seismic aftershock risk assessment. Earthq. Eng. Struct. D., 43, 2179-2197
109. T.H. Jordan, W. Marzocchi, A. Michael, M. Gerstenberger (2014). Operational earthquake forecasting can enhance earthquake preparedness. Seismol. Res. Lett., 85(5), 955-959.
108. W. Marzocchi, A.M. Lombardi, E. Casarotti (2014). The establishment of an operational earthquake forecasting system in Italy. Seismol. Res. Lett., 85(5), 961-969.
107. W. Marzocchi, T.H. Jordan (2014). Testing for ontological errors in probabilistic forecasting models of natural systems. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111(33), 11973-11978.
106. W. Marzocchi, M. Taroni (2014). Some thoughts on declustering in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 104(4), 1838-1845.
105. T. Parsons, M. Segou, W. Marzocchi (2014). The global aftershock zone. Tectonophysics, 618, 1-34.
104. E. Lippiello, F. Giacco, L.de Arcangelis, W. Marzocchi, C. Godano (2014). Parameter estimation in branching processes: Approximations and novel methods. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 104, 985-994.
103. H. Ebrahimian, F. Jalayer, D. Asprone, A. M. Lombardi, W. Marzocchi, A. Prota, G. Manfredi (2014). Adaptive daily forecasting of seismic aftershock hazard. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 104, 145-161.
102. M. Taroni, J.D. Zechar, W. Marzocchi (2014). Assessing annual global M6+ seismicity forecasts. Geophys. J. Int., 196, 422-431.
101. W. Marzocchi (2012). Putting science on trial. Phys. World, 25, 17-18.
100. J. Selva, W. Marzocchi, P. Papale, L. Sandri (2012). Operational eruption forecasting at high-risk volcanoes: the case of Campi Flegrei, Naples. J. Appl. Volcanol., 1, 5, DOI 10.1186/2191-5040-1-5
99. W. Marzocchi, J.D. Zechar, T.H. Jordan (2012). Bayesian forecast evaluation and ensemble earthquake forecasting. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 102, 2574-2584, DOI 10.1785/0120110327
98. W. Marzocchi, C.G. Newhall, G. Woo (2012). The scientific management of volcanic crises. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 247-248, 181-189.
97. E. Lippiello, W. Marzocchi, L. de Arcangelis, C. Godano (2012). Spatial organization of foreshocks as a tool to forecast large earthquakes. Sci. Rep., 2, 846, DOI 10.1038/srep00846.
96. W. Marzocchi, M. Murru, A.M. Lombardi, G. Falcone, R. Console (2012). Daily earthquake forecast during the May-June 2012 earthquake sequence (Northern Italy). Ann. Geophys., 55, 561-567.
95. W. Marzocchi, M. Bebbington (2012). Probabilistic eruption forecasting at short and long time scales. Bull. Volcanol., 74, 1777-1805, DOI 10.1007/s00445-012-0633-x
94. A. Grezio, L. Sandri, W. Marzocchi, A. Argnani, P. Gasparini, J. Selva (2012). Probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for Messina strait area (Sicily, Italy). Nat. Hazards, 64, 329-358, DOI 10.1007/s11069-012-0246-x
93. W. Marzocchi, A. Amato, A. Akinci, C. Chiarabba, A.M. Lombardi, D. Pantosti, E. Boschi (2012). A ten-year earthquake occurrence model for Italy. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 102, 1195-1213.
92. W. Marzocchi, A. Garcia-Aristizabal, P. Gasparini, M.L. Mastellone, A. Di Ruocco (2012). Basic principles of multi-risk assessment: a case study in Italy. Nat. Hazards, 62, 551-573.
91. L. Sandri, G. Jolly, J. Lindsay, T. Howe, W. Marzocchi (2012). Combining long- and short-term probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment with cost-benefit analysis to support decision making in a volcanic crisis from the Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand. Bull. Volcanol., 74, 705-723.
90. A. Garcia-Aristizabal, W. Marzocchi, E. Fujita (2012). A Brownian model for recurrent volcanic eruptions: an application to Miyakejima volcano (Japan). Bull. Volcanol., 74, 545-558, DOI 10.1007/s00445-011-0542-4
89. J. Selva, G. Orsi, M. Di Vito, W. Marzocchi, L. Sandri (2012). Probability hazard map for future vent opening at the Campi Flegrei caldera, Italy. Bull. Volcanol., 74, 497-510, DOI 10.1007/s00445-011-0528-2
88. A. Grezio, P. Gasparini, W. Marzocchi, A. Patera, S. Tinti (2012). Tsunami risk assessments in Messina, Sicily - Italy. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 12, 151-153.
87. T.H. Jordan, Y.-T. Chen, P. Gasparini, R. Madariaga, I. Main, W. Marzocchi, G. Papadopoulos, G. Sobolev, K. Yamaoka, J. Zschau (2011). Operational earthquake forecasting: state of knowledge and guidelines for utilization. Ann. Geophys., 54, 315-391, DOI 10.4401/ag-5350
86. J. Woessner, S. Hainzl, W. Marzocchi, M.J. Werner, A.M. Lombardi, F. Catalli, B. Enescu, M. Cocco, M.C. Gerstenberger and S. Wiemer (2011). A retrospective comparative forecast test on the 1992 Landers sequence. J. Geophys. Res., 116, B05305, DOI 10.1029/2010JB007846
85. M. Bebbington, W. Marzocchi (2011). Stochastic models for earthquake triggering of volcanic eruptions. J. Geophys. Res., 116, B05204, DOI 10.1029/2010JB008114
84. W. Marzocchi, J. Zhuang (2011). Statistics between mainshocks and foreshocks in Italy and Southern California. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L09310, DOI 10.1029/2011GL047165
83. W. Marzocchi, J.D. Zechar (2011). Earthquake forecasting and earthquake prediction: different approaches for obtaining the best model. Seismol. Res. Lett., 82, 442-448.
82. A.M. Lombardi, W. Marzocchi (2011). The double branching model for earthquake forecast applied to the Japanese seismicity. Earth Planets Space, 63, 187-195.
81. L. Passarelli, B. Sansò, L. Sandri, W. Marzocchi (2010). Testing forecasts of a new Bayesian time-predictable model of eruption occurrence. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 198, 57-75.
80. A.M. Lombardi, W. Marzocchi (2010). The ETAS model for daily forecasting of Italian seismicity in the CSEP experiment. Ann. Geophys., 53, 155-164.
79. A.M. Lombardi, W. Marzocchi (2010). A double branching model applied to long-term forecasting of Italian seismicity (ML≥5) within the CSEP experiment. Ann. Geophys., 53, 31-39.
78. L. Faenza, W. Marzocchi (2010). The proportional hazard model as applied to the CSEP testing area in Italy. Ann. Geophys., 53, 77-84.
77. D. Schorlemmer, A. Christophersen, A. Rovida, F. Mele, M. Stucchi, W. Marzocchi (2010). Setting up an earthquake forecast experiment in Italy. Ann. Geophys., 53, 1-9.
76. M.J. Werner, J.D. Zechar, W. Marzocchi, S. Wiemer (2010). Retrospective evaluation of the five-year and ten-year CSEP-Italy earthquake forecasts. Ann. Geophys., 53, 11-30.
75. A.M. Lombardi, W. Marzocchi (2010). The assumption of Poisson seismic-rate variability in CSEP/RELM experiments. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 100, 2293-2300.
74. J. Selva, A. Costa, W. Marzocchi, L. Sandri (2010). BET_VH: exploring the influence of natural uncertainties on long-term hazard from tephra fallout at Campi Flegrei (Italy), Bull. Volcanol., 72, 717-733, DOI 10.1007/s00445-010-0358-7
73. W. Marzocchi, L. Sandri, J. Selva (2010). BET_VH: a probabilistic tool for long-term volcanic hazard assessment. Bull. Volcanol., 72, 705-716, DOI 10.1007/s00445-010-0357-8
72. L. Passarelli, L. Sandri, A. Bonazzi, W. Marzocchi (2010). Bayesian hierarchical time predictable model for eruption occurrence: an application to Kilauea volcano. Geophys. J. Int., 181, 1525-1538, DOI 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2010.04582.x
71. A.M. Lombardi, M. Cocco, W. Marzocchi (2010). On the increase of background seismicity rate during the 1997-1998 Umbria-Marche, central Italy, sequence: apparent variation or fluid-driven triggering? Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 100, 1138-1152.
70. D. Schorlemmer, F. Mele, W. Marzocchi (2010). A completeness analysis of the national seismic network of Italy. J. Geophys. Res., 115, B04308, DOI 10.1029/2008JB006097
69. T. van Stiphout, S. Wiemer, W. Marzocchi (2010). Are short-term evacuations warranted? Case of the 2009 L'Aquila earthquake. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L06306, DOI 10.1029/2009GL042352
68. A. Grezio, W. Marzocchi, L. Sandri, P. Gasparini (2010). A Bayesian procedure for probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment. Nat. Hazards, 53, 159-174. DOI 10.1007/s11069-009-9418-8
67. J. Lindsay, W. Marzocchi, G. Jolly, R. Constantinescu, J. Selva, L. Sandri (2010). Towards real-time eruption forecasting in the Auckland Volcanic Field: application of BET_EF during the New Zealand national disaster exercise 'Ruaumoko'. Bull. Volcanol., 72, 185-204. DOI 10.1007/s00445-009-0311-9
66. W. Marzocchi, A.M. Lombardi (2009). Real-time forecasting following a damaging earthquake. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L21302, DOI 10.1029/2009GL040233
65. G. Orsi, M.A. Di Vito, J. Selva, W. Marzocchi (2009). Long-term forecast of eruption style and size at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy). Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 287, 265-276.
64. A.M. Lombardi, W. Marzocchi (2009). Double branching model to forecast the next M≥5.5 earthquakes in Italy. Tectonophysics, 475, 514-523, DOI 10.1016/j.tecto.2009.06.014
63. L. Sandri, E. Guidoboni, W. Marzocchi, J. Selva (2009). Bayesian Event Tree for eruption forecasting (BET_EF) at Vesuvius, Italy: a retrospective forward application to the 1631 eruption. Bull. Volcanol., 71, 729-745, DOI 10.1007/s00445-008-0261-7
62. W. Marzocchi, G. Woo (2009). Principles of volcanic risk metrics: theory and the case study of Mount Vesuvius and Campi Flegrei, Italy. J. Geophys. Res., 114, B03213, DOI 10.1029/2008JB005908
61. W. Marzocchi, J. Selva, F.R. Cinti, P. Montone, S. Pierdominici, R. Schivardi, E. Boschi (2009). On the occurrence of large earthquakes: new insights from a model based on interacting faults embedded in a realistic tectonic setting. J. Geophys. Res., 114, B01307, DOI 10.1029/2008JB005822
60. W. Marzocchi (2008). Earthquake forecasting in Italy, before and after Umbria-Marche seismic sequence 1997. A review of the earthquake occurrence modeling at different spatio-temporal-magnitude scales. Ann. Geophys., 51, 405-416.
59. W. Marzocchi, A.M. Lombardi (2008). A double branching model for earthquake occurrence. J. Geophys. Res., 113, B08317, DOI 10.1029/2007JB005472
58. W. Marzocchi, J. Selva (2008). Long-term influence of giant earthquakes: backward empirical evidence and forward test. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 98, 1102-1112, DOI 10.1785/0120070203
57. L. Faenza, W. Marzocchi, P. Serretti, E. Boschi (2008). On the spatio-temporal distribution of M 7.0+ worldwide seismicity with a non-parametric statistics. Tectonophysics, 449, 97-104, DOI 10.1016/j.tecto.2007.11.066
56. W. Marzocchi, L. Sandri, J. Selva (2008). BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting. Bull. Volcanol., 70, 623-632, DOI 10.1007/s00445-007-0157-y
55. W. Marzocchi, G. Woo (2007). Probabilistic eruption forecasting and the call for an evacuation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L22310, DOI 10.1029/2007GL031922
54. W. Marzocchi (2007). Comment on “Layered seismogenic source model and probabilistic seismic-hazard analyses in Central Italy” by Pace B., L. Peruzza, G. Lavecchia, P. Boncio, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 96, 107-132, 2006, DOI 10.1785/0120040231. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 97, 1763-1765, DOI 10.1785/0120060192
53. L. Sandri, W. Marzocchi (2007). A technical note on the bias in the estimation of the b-value and its uncertainty through the Least Squares technique. Ann. Geophys., 50, 329-339.
52. A.M. Lombardi, W. Marzocchi (2007). Evidence of clustering and nonstationarity in the time distribution of large worldwide earthquakes. J. Geophys. Res., 112, B02303, DOI 10.1029/2006JB004568
51. A.M. Lombardi, W. Marzocchi, J. Selva (2006). Exploring the evolution of a volcanic seismic swarm: the case of the 2000 Izu Islands swarm. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L07310, DOI 10.1029/2005GL025157
50. W. Marzocchi, L. Zaccarelli (2006). A quantitative model for the time-size distribution of eruptions. J. Geophys. Res., 111, B04204, DOI 10.1029/2005JB003709
49. L. Sandri, W. Marzocchi, P. Gasperini (2005). Some insights on the occurrence of recent volcanic eruptions of Mount Etna volcano (Sicily, Italy). Geophys. J. Int., 163, 1203-1218, DOI 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2005.02757.x
48. J. Selva, W. Marzocchi (2005). Variations of Southern California seismicity: empirical evidence and possible physical causes. J. Geophys. Res., 110, B11306, DOI 10.1029/2004JB003494
47. F. Marra, J. Taddeucci, C. Freda, W. Marzocchi, P. Scarlato (2005). Reply to comment by M.A. Laurenzi on “Recurrence of volcanic activity along the Roman Comagmatic Province (Tyrrhenian margin of Italy) and its tectonic significance”. Tectonics, 24, No. 5, TC5007, DOI 10.1029/2005TC001840
46. J. Selva, W. Marzocchi, F. Zencher, E. Casarotti, A. Piersanti, E. Boschi (2004). A forward test for the interaction between remote earthquakes and volcanic eruptions: the case of Sumatra (June 2000), and Denali (November 2002) earthquakes. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 226, 383-395.
45. F. Cinti, L. Faenza, W. Marzocchi, P. Montone (2004). Probability map of the next M ≥ 5.5 earthquakes in Italy. Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst., 5, Q11003, DOI 10.1029/2004GC000724
44. W. Marzocchi, L. Sandri, P. Gasparini, C. Newhall, E. Boschi (2004). Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: the example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius. J. Geophys. Res., 109, B11201, DOI 10.1029/2004JB003155
43. F. Marra, J. Taddeucci, C. Freda, W. Marzocchi, P. Scarlato (2004). Recurrence of volcanic activity along the Roman Comagmatic Province (Tyrrhenian margin of Italy) and its tectonic significance. Tectonics, 23, No. 4, TC4013, 10.1029/2003TC001600.
42. L. Faenza, A. Lombardi, W. Marzocchi, R. Console (2004). Some insights into the time clustering of large earthquakes in Italy. Ann. Geophys., 47, 1635-1640.
41. S.R. McNutt, W. Marzocchi (2004). Simultaneous earthquake swarms and eruption in Alaska, Fall 1996: statistical significance and inference of a large aseismic slip event. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 94, 1831-1841.
40. J. Selva, W. Marzocchi (2004). Focal parameters, depth estimation, and plane selection of the worldwide shallow seismicity with Ms ≥ 7.0 for the period 1900-1976. Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst., 5, Q05005, DOI 10.1029/2003GC000669
39. W. Marzocchi, L. Zaccarelli, E. Boschi (2004). Phenomenological evidence in favor of a remote seismic coupling for large volcanic eruptions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L04601, DOI 10.1029/2003GL018709
38. L. Sandri, W. Marzocchi (2004). Testing the performance of some nonparametric Pattern Recognition algorithms in realistic cases. Pattern Recognit., 37, 447-461.
37. L. Sandri, W. Marzocchi, L. Zaccarelli (2004). A new perspective in identifying the precursory patterns of eruptions. Bull. Volcanol., 66, 263-275, DOI 10.1007/s00445-003-0309-7
36. W. Marzocchi, L. Sandri (2003). A review and new insights on the estimation of the b-value and its uncertainty. Ann. Geophys., 46, 1271-1282.
35. W. Marzocchi, J. Selva, A. Piersanti, E. Boschi (2003). On the long-term interaction among earthquakes: Some insights from a model simulation. J. Geophys. Res., 108 (B11), 2538, DOI 10.1029/2003JB002390
34. W. Marzocchi, L. Sandri, E. Boschi (2003). On the validation of earthquake-forecasting models: the case of pattern recognition algorithms. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 93, 1994-2004.
33. L. Faenza, W. Marzocchi, E. Boschi (2003). A non-parametric hazard model to characterize the spatio-temporal occurrence of large earthquakes; an application to the Italian catalogue. Geophys. J. Int., 155, 521-531.
32. D. Granieri, G. Chiodini, W. Marzocchi, R. Avino (2003). Continuous monitoring of CO2 soil diffuse degassing at Phlegraean Fields (Italy): influence of environmental and volcanic parameters. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 212, 167-179.
31. W. Marzocchi, E. Casarotti, A. Piersanti (2002). Modeling the stress variations induced by great earthquakes on the largest volcanic eruptions of the 20th century. J. Geophys. Res., 107(B11), 2320, DOI 10.1029/2001JB001391
30. A. Zollo, W. Marzocchi, P. Capuano, A. Lomax, G. Iannaccone (2002). Space and time behavior of seismic activity at Mt. Vesuvius volcano, Southern Italy. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 92, 625-640.
29. W. Marzocchi (2002). Remote seismic influence on large explosive eruptions. J. Geophys. Res., 107(B1), 2018, DOI 10.1029/2001JB000307
28. W. Marzocchi, G. Vilardo, D.P. Hill, G.P. Ricciardi, C. Ricco (2001). Common features and peculiarities of the seismic activity at Phlegraean Fields, Long Valley, and Vesuvius. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 91, 191-205.
27. C. Ricco, C. Del Gaudio, F. Quareni, W. Marzocchi (2000). Spectral analysis of the clinometric data at the Phlegraean Fields from 1992 to 1998. Ann. Geofis., 43, 939-950.
26. C. Nostro, R.S. Stein, M. Cocco, M.E. Belardinelli, W. Marzocchi (1998). Two-way coupling between Vesuvius eruptions and southern Apennine earthquakes, Italy, by elastic stress transfer. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 24487-24504.
25. G. Gonzato, F. Mulargia, W. Marzocchi (1998). Practical application of fractal analysis: problems and solutions. Geophys. J. Int., 132, 275-282.
24. W. Marzocchi (1997). Missing reversals in the geomagnetic polarity time scale: their influence on the analysis and in constraining the process that generates geomagnetic reversals. J. Geophys. Res., 102, 5157-5171.
23. W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia, G. Gonzato (1997). Detecting low-dimensional chaos in geophysical time series. J. Geophys. Res., 102, 3195-3209.
22. F. Florindo, L. Alfonsi, A. Piersanti, G. Spada, W. Marzocchi (1996). Geomagnetic jerks and seismic activity. Ann. Geofis., 39, 1227-1233.
21. F. Mulargia, W. Marzocchi, P. Gasperini (1996). Re-Rebuttal to the Reply of Varotsos et al. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 1343-1344.
20. F. Mulargia, W. Marzocchi, P. Gasperini (1996). Rebuttal to Replies I and II by Varotsos et al. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 1339-1340.
19. W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia (1996). Scale analysis to sort the different causes of mean sea level changes: an application to the northern Adriatic sea. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 1119-1122.
18. W. Marzocchi (1996). Chaos and stochasticity in volcanic eruptions: the case of Mount Etna and Vesuvius. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 70, 205-212.
17. W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia, G. Gonzato (1996). Detecting low-dimensional chaos in time series of finite length generated from discrete parameter processes. Physica D, 90, 31-39.
16. C. Cardaci, S. Falsaperla, P. Gasperini, G. Lombardo, W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia (1996). Reply to the comment by D.K. Yamaguchi on ``Cross-correlation analysis of seismic and volcanic data at Mt. Etna volcano, Italy, by Cardaci et al. (Bull. Volcanol., 55, 596-603, 1993), Bull. Volcanol., 57, 581-583.
15. W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia (1995). Stress pulses in Southern Italy. Geophys. Res. Lett., 22, 29-32.
14. W. Marzocchi, G. Gonzato, F. Mulargia (1995). Rikitake's geodynamo model analysed in terms of classical time series statistics. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 88, 83-88.
13. S. Gresta, W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia (1994). Is there a correlation between larger local earthquakes and the end of eruptions at Mount Etna volcano, Sicily? Geophys. J. Int., 116, 230-232.
12. C. Cardaci, S. Falsaperla, P. Gasperini, G. Lombardo, W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia (1993). Cross-correlation analysis of seismic and volcanic data at Mt. Etna volcano, Italy. Bull. Volcanol., 55, 596-603.
11. W. Marzocchi, R. Scandone, F. Mulargia (1993). The tectonic setting of Mount Vesuvius and the correlation between its eruptions and the earthquakes of the Southern Apennines. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 58, 27-41.
10. W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia, P. Paruolo (1993). Reply to the comment by S.R. Gaffin on ``The correlation of geomagnetic reversals and mean sea level in the last 150 m.y.
, by Marzocchi et al. (Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 111, 383-393, 1992), Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 118, 353-355.
9. W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia (1993). Patterns of hot spot volcanism. J. Geophys. Res., 98, 14029-14039.
8. W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia, P. Paruolo (1992). The correlation of geomagnetic reversals and mean sea level in the last 150 m.y. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 111, 383-393.
7. W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia (1992). The periodicity of geomagetic reversals. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 73, 222-228.
6. F. Mulargia, Marzocchi W., P. Gasperini (1992). Statistical identification of physical patterns which accompany eruptive activity on Mount Etna, Sicily. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 53, 289-296.
5. F. Quareni, W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia (1991). Anelastic convection in the mantle with variable properties. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 68, 117-131.
4. F. Mulargia, P. Gasperini, W. Marzocchi (1991). Pattern recognition applied to volcanic activity: identification of the precursory patterns to Etna recent flank eruptions and periods of rest. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 45, 187-196.
3. W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia (1990). Statistical analysis of the geomagnetic reversal sequences. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 61, 149-164.
2. W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia (1990). Feasibility of a synchronized correlation between Hawaiian hot spot volcanism and geomagnetic polarity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 17, 1113-1116.
1. W. Marzocchi, F. Mulargia (1990). On the spreading of the East-Pacific Rise. Tectonophysics, 179, 93-102.

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